Is this the new Buy to Let?

It doesn’t seem two minutes ago that it was 90 degrees Fahrenheit in the shade (32 degrees Celsius for my younger readers), hosepipe bans looked likely and it was simply too hot to sleep at night, yet early indications were, that as the temperatures soared, the Northampton property market appeared to be doing the reverse and was already starting to cool down.

17.43% less people moved home in the Northampton area in the first part of 2018, when compared to the average number of people moving home (in the same time frame) between 2014 and 2017

The average number of households who sold and moved locally between 2014 and 2017 in the winter and spring months was 322 homes a month.. yet in the same time frame in 2018, only 266 (on average) sold and moved.

So, what is the issue? Many have cited Brexit as the issue – but I think its deeper than that.

Brexit seems to be the “go to excuse” for everything at the moment – my neighbour even blamed it for the potholes! Anyway a few weeks ago, I was out for a family get together in another part of the UK when one of my extended family said that they were planning on buying their first home this autumn most of those present said they were stupid to do so because of Brexit. Nonetheless, half an hour later, another distant cousin said to the same family crowd that they were planning to sell their home; to which most said they were also daft to do so because of Brexit.

Both sides of the argument can’t be right! So, what exactly is happening?

Well if you have been reading my blog on the Northampton property market over the last few months, I have been discussing the threats and opportunities of the current state of fluidity in the Northampton property market, including the issue of OAPs staying in homes that are too big for them as their children have flown the nest, interest rates, inflation, lack of new homes being built and the long term attitude to homeownership.. yet I have noticed a new trend in the last few months.. the emergence of the ‘sell to renter’.

Sell to Renter?

I have seen a subtle, yet noticeable number of Northampton homeowners that have been selling their Northampton homes, renting and wagering that, in the next few years, the Northampton property market will tumble by more than what they spend on their short-term rental home, before they buy another Northampton home in a couple of years i.e. a ‘sell to renter’. This type of ‘sell to renter’ is mostly predominant at the middle to upper end of the Northampton property market – so I’m not too sure if it will catch on in the main ‘core’ market?

So, what does this all mean for Northampton homeowners and Northampton Buy To Let landlords?

Well, in the short term, demand for middle to upper market Northampton rental properties could increase as these ‘sell to renters’ demand such properties. I would however give a note of caution to Northampton landlords buying in this sector of the Northampton property market as yields in this sector can be quite low. However, for homeowners of middle to upper market Northampton properties, you might have less people wanting to buy your type of property, as some buyers are turning to renting?

Like I have always said, Northampton properties are selling if they are realistically priced (realistic for the market – not a rose-tinted version where someone will pay 10% over the odds because everyone has access to the market stats with the likes of Rightmove and Zoopla!).

P.S Notice the spike in the graph, where the number of property sales jumped to 715 in the month of March 2016? That was all the Northampton buy to let landlords snapping up buy to let properties before the stamp duty rules changed!

I would love to hear your views

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