With the Government preparing to control tenant’s deposits at four weeks rent, Northampton landlords will soon only be protected in the event of a single month of unpaid rental-arrears, at a time when Universal Credit has seen some rent arrears quadrupling and that’s before you consider damage to the property or solicitor costs.
It can’t be disputed that the deposits Northampton tenants have to save for, certainly raises the cost of renting, putting another nail in the coffin of the dream of home ownership for many Northampton renters whilst at the same time, those same deposits being unable to provide Northampton landlords with a decent level of protection against unpaid rent or damage to the property.
In fact, the total of all the tenants’ deposits in Northampton, deposited or protected, is £11,877,066
When you consider the value of all the privately rented properties in Northampton total £64,247,292,933, the need for decent landlord insurance to ensure you are adequately covered as a Northampton landlord is vital.
However, I want to consider the point of view of the Northampton tenant. Several housing charities believe spending more than a third of someone’s salary on rent as exorbitant, yet for the tenants they find themselves in that very position. I feel especially sorry for the Northampton youngsters in their 20’s who want to rent a place for themselves, as they face having to pay out the rent and try and save for a deposit for a home.
The average 22 to 29-year-old in Northampton spends 39% of their typical salary on a one bed rental property
….and 47% of their salary for a 2-bed home in Northampton.
40 years ago, British people who rented spent an average of 10% of their salary on rent, and only 14% in London. Looking in even greater detail, according to the ONS, over the past 60 years the proportion of total spending on all housing (renting and mortgages) has doubled from 9% in the late 1950’s to 18% today. Whilst on the other hand, the proportion of total expenditure on food has halved (33% to 16%), as has the proportion of total spending on clothing (10% to 5%)… it’s a case of swings and roundabouts!
Yet landlords also face costs that need to be covered from rents including mortgages, landlord insurance (especially the need for the often-inadequate deposits to cover the loss of rent and damage), maintenance and licensing. In fact, rents in the last 10 years have failed to keep up with UK inflation, so in real terms, landlords are worse off when it comes to their rental returns (although they have gained on the increase in Northampton property values – but that is only realised when a property sells).
There are a small handful of Northampton landlords selling some/or all of their rental portfolio as their portfolios become less economically viable with the recent tax changes for buy to let landlords, which will result in fewer properties available to rent.
However, this will reduce the supply and availability of Northampton rental properties, meaning rents will rise (classic textbook supply and demand), thus landlords return and yields will rise. Yet, because tenants still can’t afford to save the deposit for a home (as we discussed above) and we are all living longer, the demand for rental properties across Northampton will continue to grow in the next twenty to thirty years as we turn to more European ways where the norm is to rent rather than buy in the 20’s and 30’s age range. This will mean new buy-to-let landlords will be attracted into the market, buy properties for the rental market in Northampton and enjoy those higher yields and returns… isn’t it interesting that things mostly always go full circle?